Inflationsdaten-Komplexität belastet Bitcoin
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Der verzögerte Bericht zu persönlichen Einkommen und Ausgaben des Bureau of Economic Analysis, der die PCE-Inflationsdaten für Oktober und November kombinierte, offenbarte anhaltende Preisdruck. Die Gesamt-PCE verzeichnete in beiden Monaten 0,2 % gegenüber dem Vormonat, mit Jahresvergleichswerten von 2,7 % im Oktober und 2,8 % im November. Diese 'gepatchte' Datenveröffentlichung schafft Unsicherheit bezüglich der zugrunde liegenden Inflationstrends und erschwert die Erwartungen an die Federal Reserve-Politik.
Für Bitcoin stellt diese Umgebung ein hochriskantes Wartespiel dar. Die Kryptowährung bleibt empfindlich gegenüber Realzinsdynamiken, wobei unklare Inflationssignale möglicherweise erwartete Zinssenkungen der Fed verzögern. Marktteilnehmer scheinen vorsichtig zu sein, während sie bewerten, ob die aktuellen Daten echten Desinflationsfortschritt darstellen oder versteckte Inflationsrisiken maskieren, die eine restriktive Geldpolitik verlängern könnten.
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