Mining-Ökonomie signalisiert potenzielle Marktkonsolidierung
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Aktuelle Daten des Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) zeigen, dass Bitcoin-Miner, die 0,10 US-Dollar pro kWh oder mehr für Energie zahlen, derzeit mit Verlust pro geschürftem Bitcoin operieren. Diese Schwelle unterstreicht die kritische Rolle der Energiekosten für die Rentabilität des Minings, insbesondere da die Netzwerk-Hashrate weiterhin hoch bleibt und Blockbelohnungen geplanten Halbierungen unterliegen. Solche Bedingungen üben erheblichen Druck auf Hochkostenbetriebe aus, was möglicherweise ineffiziente Miner dazu zwingt, ihre Aktivitäten einzuschränken oder den Markt ganz zu verlassen.
Während diese Entwicklung unmittelbare Herausforderungen für betroffene Miner darstellt, könnte sie langfristig zur Netzwerkgesundheit beitragen, indem sie Effizienzverbesserungen und geografische Diversifizierung in Richtung Regionen mit niedrigeren Energiekosten fördert. Die daraus resultierende Reduzierung der Mining-Aktivität könnte den Verkaufsdruck von Minern, die Belohnungen zur Deckung ihrer Betriebskosten liquidieren, vorübergehend verringern. Marktteilnehmer sollten jedoch Anpassungen der Hashrate und Miner-Kapitulationsmetriken überwachen, da anhaltende Verluste die Netzwerksicherheit und die Stabilität der Transaktionsverarbeitung in dieser Übergangsphase beeinträchtigen könnten.
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