HSBC Οδηγία Risk-On Σηματοδοτεί Μακροοικονομική Μεταστροφή
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Η επιθετική οδηγία risk-on της HSBC, που εκδόθηκε στις 27 Ιανουαρίου, αντιπροσωπεύει μια σημαντική θεσμική μεταστροφή προς τα risk assets. Η τράπεζα συνιστά την υπέρβαση βαρύτητας σε μετοχές, high-yield χρέος, ομόλογα αναδυόμενων αγορών και χρυσό, ενώ υποβάθμιση σε κυβερνητικά ομόλογα, investment-grade πίστωση και πετρέλαιο. Αυτή η τοποθέτηση βασίζεται σε μια συγκεκριμένη μακροοικονομική άποψη: ανθεκτικότητα ανάπτυξης των ΗΠΑ, περιορισμένη διακύμανση επιτοκίων και μια ανανεωμένη κλίση προς τις mega-cap τεχνολογικές μετοχές.
Ο συγχρονισμός της οδηγίας συμπίπτει με το δολάριο ΗΠΑ να φτάνει τα χαμηλότερα επίπεδα του 2021, δημιουργώντας πιθανές ευνοϊκές συνθήκες για εναλλακτικά assets. Ιστορικά, η αδυναμία του δολαρίου έχει συσχετιστεί με αυξημένες ροές κεφαλαίων σε κρυπτονομίσματα, υποδηλώνοντας ότι το Bitcoin θα μπορούσε να επωφεληθεί από αυτό το μακροοικονομικό υπόβαθρο. Ενώ οι συστάσεις της HSBC δεν αναφέρουν ρητά τα κρυπτονομίσματα, το risk-on περιβάλλον και η δυναμική του δολαρίου δημιουργούν ευνοϊκές συνθήκες για ψηφιακά assets.
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