Bitcoin ETF Flows Dictate Path to New ATH
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Bitcoin's trajectory toward a new all-time high and subsequent price discovery hinges critically on whether spot ETF flows regain persistence after a volatile start to 2026. Recent data reveals a challenging $1.29 billion net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs since December 15, testing the 'stickiness' of institutional demand in the post-ETF era. This substantial capital exodus has introduced significant near-term headwinds, disrupting momentum that previously supported bullish price action.
Despite these immediate pressures, the broader outlook suggests a clear three-year window for Bitcoin to achieve new highs. The current ETF flow volatility represents a critical stress test for institutional adoption rather than a structural reversal. Market participants should monitor whether these outflows stabilize and reverse, as renewed institutional inflows would likely catalyze the next sustained upward move toward price discovery.
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