Bitcoin Faces Fed Liquidity Test This Week

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Bitcoin markets are bracing for potential volatility as traders focus on the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting on January 27-28. While interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, market participants will scrutinize the Fed's guidance on real yields, dollar strength, and liquidity conditions. These factors can significantly impact Bitcoin's spot price through channels that operate independently of the policy-rate corridor.
The Fed's ongoing quantitative tightening program, which has reportedly begun draining approximately $779 billion in liquidity from markets, presents a hidden risk to crypto assets. This liquidity withdrawal could create headwinds for Bitcoin despite a potential rate hold, as reduced dollar liquidity typically correlates with pressure on risk assets. Traders should monitor the January 28 press conference closely for signals about the Fed's balance sheet normalization timeline and its implications for dollar-denominated assets.
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