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Bitcoin Cycle Model Projects Major Correction Ahead

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A new Bitcoin halving-cycle model, built on four historical cycles, projects a significant market correction following the current cycle's peak. The analysis indicates Bitcoin could decline approximately 72.5% from a projected cycle high of $126,219, potentially reaching lows near $35,000 by December 2026. This model reportedly correctly identified both the 2021 market top and subsequent bottom, lending credibility to its methodology.

While such projections suggest substantial downside risk in the medium term, they operate within the established framework of Bitcoin's cyclical behavior. The model's timing aligns with historical patterns where extended bear markets follow major bull runs. Investors should consider these projections alongside broader market fundamentals and macroeconomic factors when assessing portfolio risk.

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