ETH/BTC Downtrend Risks Further Decline
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Ethereum has underperformed Bitcoin significantly over the past year, with the ETH/BTC pair dropping 35% and currently trading near multi-year lows. The ongoing downtrend mirrors the bearish structure observed in 2024–2025, suggesting that the selling pressure on Ethereum relative to Bitcoin remains intact. Technical indicators point to a potential continuation of this trend, with some analysts warning of another 40% decline if key support levels break.
Fundamentally, Ethereum faces headwinds from increased competition from layer-1 blockchains and a shift in market sentiment toward Bitcoin as a store of value. The upcoming network upgrades have failed to catalyze price momentum against Bitcoin, and on-chain metrics show declining activity. Without a clear catalyst, the ETH/BTC ratio may continue to slide.
Traders should monitor the 0.02 BTC level as a critical support. A breakdown below this could accelerate losses, while a reversal above 0.025 BTC would signal a potential trend change.
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