Fed Rate Hike Odds Shift Weigh on Bitcoin
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As of May 20, 2026, CME FedWatch data reveals a 54.1% probability of a rate hike at the December 2026 FOMC meeting, with only 1.5% odds of easing. This marks a significant shift from prior expectations of monetary relief, now replaced by renewed tightening fears. For Bitcoin, higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and risk appetite, pressuring speculative assets. The reversal in Fed projections leaves Bitcoin stranded, as the macro backdrop turns increasingly hostile. Without a catalyst for easing, BTC faces headwinds from a hawkish repricing that could persist through year-end.
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