CEX Listings Show Grim Retail Returns
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A Delphi Consulting analysis of 652 CEX listings since January 2025 reveals devastating outcomes for retail investors. Buying every new token on Binance, Bybit, Coinbase, Gate.io, and Kraken would have left investors with roughly 50 cents on the dollar. The win rate across all listings was a mere 12%, while 52% of tokens lost over 80% of their value, with the median return deeply negative. This data suggests that the current token launch model is fundamentally broken for retail participants.
These findings raise serious questions about the viability of crypto as an asset class for the average investor. With such poor performance, the article suggests that crypto's 'killer app' may pivot to tokenizing and selling stocks instead. This shift could signal a maturation of the space away from speculative token launches toward more traditional financial instruments.
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