بیتکوین از روایت پوشش ریسک دلار فاصله میگیرد
🤖این محتوا توسط TradingMaster AI بر اساس دادههای بازار لحظهای تولید شده است. در حالی که ما برای دقت تلاش میکنیم، لطفا اطلاعات مالی مهم را از منبع اصلی تایید کنید.
رفتار اخیر بازار نشان میدهد که بیتکوین به طور فزایندهای در همبستگی با داراییهای پرریسک با بتای بالا معامله میشود، نه اینکه نقش سنتی خود را به عنوان پوشش ریسک دلار ایفا کند. این تغییر با عملکرد قوی طلا و رسیدن شاخص دلار آمریکا (DXY) به پایینترین سطح سالانه تأکید میشود، شرایطی که به طور معمول به نفع بیتکوین به عنوان جایگزین امن عمل میکرد. در عوض، حرکت قیمت بیتکوین مشابه سهام و سایر داراییهای سفتهبازی است، که نشان میدهد همچنان به احساسات کلی ریسکپذیری/ریسکگریزی حساس است.
تحلیلگران خاطرنشان میکنند که این واگرایی، روایت بیتکوین به عنوان طلای دیجیتال را به چالش میکشد و وابستگی فعلی آن به عوامل کلان اقتصادی مانند انتظارات نرخ بهره و شرایط نقدینگی را برجسته میسازد. در حالی که این همبستگی ممکن است در زمان ضعف دلار، سودهای صعودی را محدود کند، همچنین بلوغ بیتکوین در بازارهای مالی جهانی را منعکس میکند. سرمایهگذاران باید این پویایی در حال تحول را زیر نظر داشته باشند، زیرا جدایی پایدار از پوششهای ریسک سنتی میتواند نشاندهنده مرحله جدیدی در ادغام بازار بیتکوین باشد.
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