Faktor Institusional Mengungguli Dinamika Halving Bitcoin
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Siklus tradisional empat tahun Bitcoin, yang secara historis didorong oleh guncangan pasokan akibat halving dan partisipasi ritel berikutnya, kini menghadapi pengaruh institusional yang belum pernah terjadi sebelumnya. Pola yang dapat diprediksi dari apresiasi harga pasca-halving kini tertutupi oleh mekanisme institusional yang canggih yang secara fundamental mengubah dinamika pasar.
Tiga faktor institusional utama—manajemen likuiditas, struktur leverage, dan strategi alokasi modal—kini memberikan pengaruh yang lebih besar daripada pengurangan pasokan akibat halving. Pergeseran ini menunjukkan bahwa penemuan harga Bitcoin menjadi kurang bergantung pada antusiasme ritel siklis dan lebih responsif terhadap kerangka kerja institusional, berpotensi menciptakan lingkungan pasar yang lebih matang tetapi kurang dapat diprediksi.
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