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Bitcoin Volatility Hits Historic Low in 2025

January 3, 2026 at 04:22 PM

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Bitcoin concluded 2025 with a realized daily volatility of 2.24%, marking the lowest annual reading in the cryptocurrency's recorded history. Data from K33 Research, tracing back to 2012, illustrates a consistent compression in volatility through each market cycle: from 7.58% in 2012, to 3.34% in 2022, 2.80% in 2024, and now 2.24% in 2025. This trend suggests a maturing asset class as institutional participation and market infrastructure absorb price swings.

Notably, Bitcoin's volatility has fallen below that of major tech equities like Nvidia, representing a statistical anomaly that fundamentally alters traditional risk assessments. This development indicates Bitcoin is transitioning from a speculative instrument toward a more stable store of value, potentially broadening its appeal to conservative institutional portfolios seeking diversification with reduced volatility exposure.

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