Volatilidade do Bitcoin Atinge Mínimo Histórico em 2025
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O Bitcoin encerrou 2025 com uma volatilidade diária realizada de 2,24%, registrando a menor leitura anual na história documentada da criptomoeda. Dados da K33 Research, que remontam a 2012, ilustram uma compressão consistente da volatilidade em cada ciclo de mercado: de 7,58% em 2012, para 3,34% em 2022, 2,80% em 2024 e agora 2,24% em 2025. Essa tendência sugere uma classe de ativos em maturação, à medida que a participação institucional e a infraestrutura de mercado absorvem as oscilações de preço.
Notavelmente, a volatilidade do Bitcoin caiu abaixo daquela de grandes ações de tecnologia, como a Nvidia, representando uma anomalia estatística que altera fundamentalmente as avaliações tradicionais de risco. Esse desenvolvimento indica que o Bitcoin está em transição de um instrumento especulativo para um reserva de valor mais estável, potencialmente ampliando seu apelo para carteiras institucionais conservadoras que buscam diversificação com exposição reduzida à volatilidade.
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