Bitcoin se odchyluje od narativu zajištění proti dolaru
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Nedávné chování trhu naznačuje, že Bitcoin stále více obchoduje v korelaci s vysoce rizikovými aktivy s vysokou betou, spíše než aby plnil svou tradiční roli zajištění proti dolaru. Tento posun podtrhuje silný výkon zlata a dosažení ročních minim indexem amerického dolaru (DXY), což jsou podmínky, které by typicky zvýhodňovaly Bitcoin jako bezpečnou alternativu. Místo toho cenový vývoj Bitcoinu kopíruje akcie a další spekulativní aktiva, což naznačuje, že zůstává citlivý na širší sentiment risk-on/risk-off.
Analytici poznamenávají, že tato odchylka zpochybňuje narativ Bitcoinu jako digitálního zlata a zdůrazňuje jeho současnou závislost na makroekonomických faktorech, jako jsou očekávání úrokových sazeb a podmínky likvidity. Zatímco tato korelace může omezit růstový potenciál během oslabování dolaru, také odráží zrání Bitcoinu v rámci globálních finančních trhů. Investoři by měli sledovat tuto vyvíjející se dynamiku, protože trvalé oddělení od tradičních zajištění by mohlo signalizovat novou fázi v integraci Bitcoinu na trhu.
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