ארק אינבסט: המחסור של ביטקוין עולה על זה של זהב
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בדו"ח התחזית לשנת 2026 של ארק אינבסט, מנכ"לית קת'י ווד מדגישה את ההיצע הקבוע של ביטקוין כיתרון מרכזי על פני זהב, ומציבה אותו כנכס מחסור עדיף בסביבות של ביקוש עולה. ניתוח זה מדגיש את האופי הדפלציוני של ביטקוין, בניגוד לצמיחת ההיצע השנתית המשתנה של זהב בכ-1-2%, שיכולה לדלל את פרמיית המחסור שלו בתקופות של ביקוש מוגבר. הדו"ח מציע שככל שאימוץ מוסדי וקמעונאי מאיץ, ההיצע המוגבל של ביטקוין של 21 מיליון מטבעות עשוי להניע הערכת מחיר בולטת יותר בהשוואה לאמצעי אגירה מסורתיים.
מנקודת מבט שוקית, השקפה זו מחזקת את הנרטיב של ביטקוין כ'זהב דיגיטלי', שעשוי למשוך הון ממשקיעים המחפשים גידור אינפלציה וגיוון תיקים. עם זאת, היא מעלה גם שאלות לגבי התנודתיות של ביטקוין ואי-הוודאות הרגולטורית, שעשויות למתן את המשיכה שלו ביחס למסלול בן אלפי השנים של זהב. ההשוואה מזמינה בחינה של תפקידי שני הנכסים בתיקים מודרניים, במיוחד ככל שהתנאים המקרו-כלכליים מתפתחים.
מודיעין שוק אחרון
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