סוחרי ביטקוין מגנים מפני סיכון סגירת הממשל האמריקאי
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סוחרי ביטקוין ממקמים באופן פעיל את עצמם לתנודתיות פוטנציאלית הנובעת מסגירה אפשרית של הממשל האמריקאי, כאשר שווקי חיזוי כמו Polymarket משקפים דחיפות מוגברת ככל שמועדי המימון מתקרבים. פעילות הגנה זו מצביעה על כך שמשתתפי השוק צופים שאי-ודאות מקרו-כלכלית עלולה להשפיע על הערכות הקריפטו, אם כי המנגנונים הישירים נותרו ספקולטיביים.
הניתוח המוזכר מזהיר מפני ירידה פוטנציאלית לכיוון 60,000 דולר אם סגירה תפעיל 'השבתה סטטיסטית' — הפחתת שקיפות נתונים כלכליים וסיכון מוגבר להימנעות מסיכון. עם זאת, תחזיות כאלה מסתמכות על הנחות מדורגות לגבי פסיכולוגיית השוק והשפעות נזילות, מה שהופך יעדי מחיר מדויקים לבלתי ודאים מאוד בתוך משא ומתן פוליטי מתפתח.
מודיעין שוק אחרון
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