ביטקוין סוטה מהנרטיב של הגנה מפני הדולר
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התנהגות השוק האחרונה מצביעה על כך שביטקוין סוחר יותר ויותר בקורלציה עם נכסים בסיכון גבוה (high-beta) במקום למלא את תפקידו המסורתי כהגנה מפני הדולר. שינוי זה מודגש על ידי הביצועים החזקים של הזהב ומדד הדולר האמריקאי (DXY) שמגיע לשפל שנתי, תנאים שהיו בדרך כלל מעדיפים את ביטקוין כאלטרנטיבה בטוחה. במקום זאת, תנועת המחיר של ביטקוין משקפת את המניות ונכסים ספקולטיביים אחרים, מה שמרמז שהוא נשאר רגיש לתחושת הסיכון הכללית בשוק (risk-on/risk-off).
אנליסטים מציינים שסטייה זו מאתגרת את הנרטיב של ביטקוין כזהב דיגיטלי, ומדגישה את התלות הנוכחית שלו בגורמים מקרו-כלכליים כמו ציפיות לריבית ותנאי נזילות. בעוד שקורלציה זו עשויה להגביל את הפוטנציאל לעלייה במהלך חולשת הדולר, היא גם משקפת את הבשלות של ביטקוין בתוך השווקים הפיננסיים הגלובליים. משקיעים צריכים לעקוב אחר הדינמיקה המתפתחת הזו, מכיוון שניתוק מתמשך מההגנות המסורתיות עשוי לאותת על שלב חדש בשילוב השוק של ביטקוין.
מודיעין שוק אחרון
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