比特币交易员对冲美国政府停摆风险
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比特币交易员正积极布局以应对可能因美国政府停摆引发的潜在波动性，随着资金截止日期临近，Polymarket等预测市场反映出紧迫性加剧。这种对冲活动表明市场参与者预期宏观经济不确定性可能影响加密货币估值，尽管直接传导机制仍具推测性。
引用的分析警告称，如果政府停摆引发'统计黑幕'——降低经济数据透明度并可能增加风险规避情绪，比特币可能滑向60,000美元。然而，此类预测依赖于对市场心理和流动性效应的连锁假设，在持续演进的政治谈判中，精确价格目标仍高度不确定。
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