比特币的采用曲线与价格走势出现背离
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近期分析显示，比特币的价格轨迹与链上使用指标之间存在显著脱钩。历史上，价格上涨与网络活动增加相关，这通常被视为采用的代理指标。然而，随着比特币突破10万美元门槛，交易活动却出现下降，这表明市场动态可能正在发生变化，积累速度可能超过了实际使用需求。 这种背离引发了关于当前估值可持续性的疑问，尤其是在缺乏更广泛交易采用的情况下。虽然机构积累显示出长期信心，但活跃地址和交易量的收缩可能表明市场存在投机性定位而非有机增长。市场参与者应密切关注这一趋势是暂时现象还是比特币价值主张的结构性变化。
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