美国债务危机逼近，比特币角色评估
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美国的财政轨迹正接近前所未有的水平，预测显示联邦债务可能达到64万亿美元——这是自第二次世界大战以来相对于GDP而言从未见过的规模。不断增加的债务负担引发了对长期经济稳定性和潜在通胀压力的担忧，市场开始对这些结构性风险进行定价。
对于比特币而言，这一宏观经济背景呈现出一个双刃剑的局面。历史上，比特币被视为对冲货币贬值和财政不确定性的工具。然而，其益处关键取决于市场认知：如果投资者将债务危机解读为通胀性或破坏稳定性的，比特币可能作为非主权价值储存手段吸引资本。相反，如果传统避险资产如美元保持信心，比特币的吸引力可能会受到抑制。关键变量仍然是投资者对不断演变的财政现实的行为反应。
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